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TubbyBall 2008-09: Lineups

Basketball Preview: We've previously looked at the newcomers to the team and returning sophomores, juniors and  seniors. We also pointed out that the newcomers will have ups and downs. Today, we look at various rotations Tubby Smith might well employ this season. Expect the basketball preview to continue throughout the week in anticipation of Friday night's season opener.

During his career, Tubby Smith has displayed a tendency to tip his cap to upperclassmen when it comes to picking a starting five. We saw that last year for a time as Jamal Abu-Shamala started a majority of games during the first half of the year. Eventually, JAS fit into a bench role.

I lead with that because I expect Tubby to make his youngsters earn playing time. A couple of them might be forced into action early on. Maybe they will be ready, maybe they won't. With that in mind, here's my guess at your starting five and subsequent rotation.

Starting Five: PG: Al Nolen, SG: Lawrence Westbrook, SF: Blake Hoffarber (Damian Johnson when healthy), F: Colt Iverson, F: RSIII.

I could see Tubby starting Jonathan Williams over either of the two freshman big men and wouldn't be surprised if that's the case. But I'd be shocked if Paul Carter, Devron Bostick or Devoe Joseph began the season in starting roles. Iverson and Sampson get the nod simply because of necessity. Hoffarber gets the nod over JAS for myriad reasons. Ideally, Hoffarber is a sixth man, and he'll be that once Johnson returns.

What I'd like to do now is throw out various lineups I'd like to see for different situations.

Three-guard lineup: Against smaller or slower teams, Tubby Smith can play three guards at one time. If RSIII and Iverson can join Williams and Johnson in holding down the boards, expect to see quite a bit of Westbrook, Nolen and Joseph on the court at the same time.

Run, run, run: The incoming class will do wonders for Tubby Smith's desire to push tempo and create turnovers. Once the newcomers have their feet wet, I would love to see some Don Nelson style small ball, ultra athletic lineups. Example: Nolen, Westbrook, Carter, Johnson and Sampson.

Defense: It's clear JAS and Blake Hoffarber aren't defensive stoppers. So, when Tubby wants high pressure defense who will he turn to? My guess is Nolen, Westbrook, Travis Busch, Johnson and either Sampson or Iverson. (Note: I haven't seen enough of Iverson and Sampson to know which will be best in what role).

Let's calm down: WIth so many newcomers, and especially on the road come Big Ten season, things are bound to get ugly from time to time. When that happens and the Gophers simply need to calm down, here's my guess: Westbrook, Hoffarber, Johnson, Williams, Sampson/Iverson.

Going big: Assuming the two JUCO transfers pan out, they give Minnesota a chance to go big against opponents, something we couldn't last year. What we could see: Nolen, Westbrook or Joseph, Bostick, Carter, Johnson, Sampson/Iverson. That would bring four players onto the court that could potentially battle underneath.

End of season crunch time: Since I expect the starting lineup to fluctuate, I prefer to look at who is closing games. By the end of the season, individual players will have established roles. Those ending games will be those that have won Tubby's heart. My best guess: Nolen, Westbrook, Johnson, Sampson, Iverson.

Clearly, there is no science to this speculation. Educated guesses perhaps. What do you expect to see, or what would you like to see?

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Prepare to be shocked

Carter will start until Johnson is back (which might be this weekend, talk about a moot argument).

Williams will be lucky to get more than 5 emergency minutes each night.

And Travis Busch playing defense? Only against 1 legged/ Division 2 players. Joseph may be a better defender than Nolen by the end of the year.

by From The Barn on Nov 11, 2008 3:10 PM CST reply actions  

You could be right.

I haven’t really seen Carter yet. But I’d still bet Tubby makes him start the season coming off the bench.

ON Busch, maybe I’m still fasicinated with how he handled playing elbows-out, Rahm Emanuel style defense against IU in the B10 Tourney last year.

Gentlemen, you can't fight in here! This is the War Room.

by PJS on Nov 11, 2008 3:17 PM CST up reply actions  

you are just sucking up to Busch

hoping he gives us another link on his video blog!

what you say here can, and will, be used against you

by GopherNation on Nov 11, 2008 3:25 PM CST up reply actions  

Damn, you know me too well.

Gentlemen, you can't fight in here! This is the War Room.

by PJS on Nov 11, 2008 3:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Thank you, thank you

I shy away from political references most of the time. Maybe I shouldn’t.

Gentlemen, you can't fight in here! This is the War Room.

by PJS on Nov 14, 2008 6:42 PM CST up reply actions  

I Thought Hoffarber

might have earned some end of game minutes after his performance in the BTT last year.

Mark 8:36

by lonebadger on Nov 11, 2008 10:45 PM CST reply actions  

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