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A Friday Preview of Border "Rivals" - South Dakota State at Minnesota, November 14, 2009

So, have you heard U2 is coming to TCF next June? Put that scoreboard to good use Bono!

Syracuse, Air Force, California, and South Dakota State. The fact that the Jackrabbits are skipping their way to TCF Bank Stadium tomorrow opens up an opportunity to gnash heads about Division I-A scheduling. I'm going to take it, but only in a very cursory matter. Here goes. The 12th game on the schedule was only ever about money for the rich, which is very ironic since BCS schools oppose a playoff because there would be "too many games." There is a way to fix these scheduling issues. First off, expand the FBS to 128 teams. Then, the NCAA needs to take over scheduling. Third, let NCAA teams designate five "rivalries" (Minnesota could designate Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, uh, Northwestern and, say, North Dakota State University). Let the computer randomly select five other opponents for Minnesota based on the prior season's performance. Then, after a ten-game regular season, a 128-team playoff. Go.

I will say that if Division I-A schools are allowed to schedule these farcical games, I applaud Minnesota for keeping the options local. I think it's a good thing they pay several hundred thousand dollars to regional schools to support their athletic budgets. However, if the NCAA was properly doing its job of protecting college athletics, schools like NDSU, South Dakota State, and Delaware State (who FORFEITED A CONFERENCE GAME to play a Big Ten school this year) would not have to offer themselves up as cannon fodder in order to balance their budgets.

Now, done with the spiel, onto the preview. Despite the previous paragraph, South Dakota State is not exactly fodder for your cannon. They enter this game 7-2, 6-1 in conference. They are #16 in the FCS, and have lost to Cal Poly and Southern Illinois (currently #4, one spot ahead of some school called Appalachian State).

Out of 118 FCS schools, SDSU is a pedestrian 45th in total offense, but a solid 18th in total defense.

On offense, look for RB Kyle Minett's performance to be a big indicator as to how this game goes (errr, NDSU's Tyler Roehl in 2007, anyone?) Minett has carried 193 times for 947 yards, averaging 4.9 ypc. As a point of comparison, Duane Bennett leads the Gophers in rushing with ..... 357 yards, at 4.1 ypc (The Gophers have fallen from 102nd in 2008, to 104th in rushing this year, rushing for 3.1 ypc. Tim Davis? Really?)

SDSU's receiving threats are Mike Steffen (35 catches for 629 yards, 3 TDs), Glen Fox (52 catches for 585 yards, 3 TDs) and the deliciously-named Sanders Montague (29 catches for 239 yards, 2 TDs). Worryingly, both Steffen and Fox have TDs measuring longer than 60 yards. I think Gopher fans will have to expect one long TD pass and just get on with the game.

As for Gopher receiving stats, no Decker, no problem. Tow-Arnett, McKnight, Green and Hoese have increased their role. One point, however. This would be a good week to introduce Hayo Carpenter to the field. Carpenter seems to be taking the David Pittman route to graduation. Can you believe that Carpenter (2 rushes, 2 catches) and Pittman have TOTALED 5 tangible plays from scrimmage this year? Can you believe Pittman's only play this year is one rush for -9 yards?

Now, the elephant in the room. Weber will likely start tomorrow. Gray will likely play a lot as well (at least, let's hope he does). It should not change anything for the Iowa game - Gray is not at the point in his development where he can go to Kinnick Stadium and cope with a Norm Parker-coached defense. Clayborn, Binns (oh another MN kid), Angerer and those DBs were suffocating for 5th year senior Darryl Clark, let alone a freshman. Gray should be given a SERIES (yes, a complete series) or two to lead the team, but he should not be given the game. A Stanzi-less Iowa gives Gray the chance to take charge for a quarter or so, and even make mistakes, without it hurting the Gophers in a game-defining manner.

Do we even dare predict tomorrow's game?

Yes, we do. I remember hanging my head when Minnesota lost to NDSU in 2007 during the 1-11 experience. It can't possibly happen again, can it? Perhaps. I didn't bother mentioning height and weight disparities between these teams because it really didn't matter much when the Gophers played smaller Syracuse and Air Force teams. C'mon, SDSU is a FCS school. The Gophers more guru-approved talent, obviously, than the Jackrabbits. The RB could be a problem, but Campbell and Triplett should neutralize him.

I believe the score will end up closer than the 60-0 blowout that everyone is hoping for, but the Gophers will never seriously be in trouble tomorrow. If they are, well, Maturi will have another reason to be ticked off at his coach.

Minnesota 45 - South Dakota State 28.

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love the playoff idea

If the 800 pound gorillas of Notre Dame, USC, etc. could ever agree to 5 randomly selected games it would be a great process. It would be an uphill battle, much like instituting a salary cap in baseball.

Buck Bravo

by Buck Bravo on Nov 13, 2009 10:19 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

I also

love the playoff idea, I was thinking the other day of having all the conference winners play in playoff games, use the existing bowls for the playoff venues.

"they're calling insane hogs???"

by CrowTrobot on Nov 13, 2009 10:44 AM CST up reply actions  

104th???

I just have a feeling Davis and Fisch do not see eye to eye. Bennett’s 4.1 is solid. Team rushing yardage major disappointment this year.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 13, 2009 10:50 AM CST reply actions  

I agree

Remember those rushing totals include the Purdue game where Weber threw only 9 times. Minnesota’s rushing O has hovered around 100th all three years of Brewster’s tenure. It should improve next year, but the team needs a back with breakaway speed and WRs and O-linemen that can sustain second-level blocks. The team’s longest rush this year is 29 yards. Perhaps Josh Huff can be a contributor next year, and Whaley can continue his positive start.

by JG2112 on Nov 13, 2009 11:54 AM CST up reply actions  

heh

pound the rock my _. (feel free to fill in the blank) :) What a joke of a team slogan.

by TheEvilProfessor on Nov 13, 2009 1:22 PM CST up reply actions  

JG2112

what is your thinking behind “it should improve next year?” just curious.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 13, 2009 11:59 AM CST reply actions  

A couple of things

(1) Teams benefit from continuity. Fisch showed up on January 19th, and Davis had been on staff in early December. So, those two had about a month to finalize their entire game plan. Then, Weber, Gray and the team had to learn it. So there goes spring practice – it was basically class for the team, learning a new system. I don’t honestly believe we’re seeing more than 30% of the playbook. Give these QBs another offseason and this spring they will be perfecting the scheme, rather than learning it. There should be more polish, more proactive rather than reactive play from the QBs. They should know their teammates better, and understand checkdowns and audibles more quickly. That will be an improvement.

(2) Wills, Carufel and the rest of the O-line will be significantly improved. They will. Michigan has basically the same line from 2008 (all non-spread recruits, BTW) and they’ve increased their ypc by one full yard this year even without their best lineman. If Minnesota makes even a 1/2 yard jump that will be great improvement. Any improvement in the blocking will lead to more second-level blocking, which can spring longer runs.

(3) The Gophers need to run more plays from scrimmage. Having another offseason learning Fisch’s playbook will get plays in quicker from the sideline. More plays – more rushes.

by JG2112 on Nov 13, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions  

JG2112

Good points. Regarding #3, I hate how slow and uncoordinated the play goes from the OC to the LOS.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 13, 2009 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Another reason

why college football should permit radios in QB helmets – increased efficiency in offensive play.

by JG2112 on Nov 13, 2009 12:43 PM CST up reply actions  

I will answer my own question

I don’t see any automatic reason why it will get better. I thought for sure it would be improved this year but I haven’t seen it. I try not to factor incoming freshmen into the equation so not counting on Huff. The entire offensive unit just looks disjointed, not sharp or crisp, and tentative. I have been critical of Weber’s footwork in the backfield but that is not the only problem. After 10 games, even with a new playbook, this unit should look more cohesive. I hate to be so negative lately, but lack of improvement drives me crazy.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 13, 2009 12:26 PM CST reply actions  

I understand

But it’s not easy to switch over a program. That was the Catch 22 Brewster employed by swapping out the spread last year. He gave away this year to prepare for 2010 and beyond (and to try and get Seantrel, IME). It’s sad Decker and the many seniors on defense had to endure it though – this team, had it stayed with the spread, probably would have defeated Illinois and Wisconsin.

by JG2112 on Nov 13, 2009 12:33 PM CST up reply actions  

JG2112

exactly why I am still so irate about that Illini loss. These seniors have gone through an absolute clusterF%^& the past 4-5 years. I wanted them to go down to Iowa on a three game winning streak.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 13, 2009 12:40 PM CST reply actions  

Well keep your head up TG

Either Brewster is going to get this figured out and by 2011 the team is going to be really good, or, Brewster’s going to fall on his face and be shown the door, and a coach like Brian Kelly, Sumlin, Patterson, Charlie Strong, Tuberville or someone else is going to come in here with a lot of talented players and win quickly.

by JG2112 on Nov 13, 2009 2:47 PM CST up reply actions  

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