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When the Expected Happens Unexpectedly

Everyone expected Iowa to cruise to an easy win versus Minnesota.  Prior to the game, I would have made the following arguments for a decisive Iowa victory:

  1. Iowa's offense will dominate the Minnesota defensive line.  What happened?: Minnesota's defense dominated Iowa's offense.  Iowa's second string freshman quarterback couldn't figure out the blitz and the Gopher defense would have allowed only 3 points had the Gopher offense functioned at even a low level of competence.
  2. Iowa's defense is one of the best in the Big Ten, and will shut down Minnesota's offense by overwhelming the offensive line.  What happened?: Minnesota's offensive line held their own against the Iowa defensive front.  Adam Weber had plenty of time to throw the ball more often than not, but was unable to hit his receivers.  Iowa did stop the running game up the middle, but sweep plays were effective when set up properly.
  3. Iowa will win by a wide margin due to superior athletes on the field and great coaching.  What happened?: Minnesota had the better players, especially on defense.  Kevin Cosgrove's defense held the Hawkeyes to just 12 points, despite compensating for an offense that was working against them.  Iowa was held to 55 yards rushing and 172 total yards of total offense.

So, what was unexpected?  Minnesota had better players and should have won the game.  Nobody expected that to be the case.  Minnesota's defense was the most dominant on the field, Minnesota's offensive line provided ample time for Weber in the pocket, and Minnesota had better speed. 

Why did the Gophers lose?  Both teams had bad quarterbacking, but Minnesota's was so horrendous that it actually lost the game.  2 fumbles, an interception, and only 35% passing efficiency.  Several wide open receivers were flat out missed. 

Why did this happen?  there are two possibilities:

  1. If MarQuies Gray is incapable of running more than one play in a row and there are no other players trained to play quarterback, then the coaching staff was forced to leave Weber in and hope that he figures things out.
  2. If MarQuies Gray is capable of running at least a simple offense and the coaching staff is unwilling to let him play, than the coaches lost this game.  There is no remaining doubt that Gray is a superior athlete, and it is unlikely that he is less accurate with his passing game than Weber.  He could have been instructed to look at one receiver, and run if the throw wasn't there.  It would have been better than getting shut out.

The Gophers should have won had it been for different personnel at just one position.  A few questions to ask:

  1. So, if Gray cannot run a simple offense and Alipate is redshirting, is there another quarterback who could have been brought in who would have been even remotely competent?
  2. What ever happened to David Pittman?  Wasn't he the JUCO player of the year as a quarterback?  Why is he riding the bench as a wide receiver when he could have been a backup quarterback?
  3. Wasn't Troy Stoudermire a high school quarterback?  Could he have at least been trained to run the Wildcat formation during emergency situations and put in for the second half?

At least this year they only lost by 12.

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Buck

I think you are missing the obvious or dancing around it—-if Brewster and Fisch don’t man-up and say that they are responsible for this loss, I will be even more upset than I already am. The offense should walk back to MLPS from Iowa. I feel most badly for that defense. Another gutsy, gritty effort by them.

by Texas Gopher on Nov 21, 2009 5:21 PM CST reply actions  

Methinks you saw a different game than I did

I don’t mean to come onto your turf and piss all over the place been when you make a statement like the following:

Minnesota’s defense was the most dominant on the field

that is backed up by a 2-6 fourth-down efficiency and an inability to get any points from 1st and goal from the 2, I have to think this was two anemic offenses up against solid defensive play, but Iowa’s defense played better. Both teams’ offenses were beset by injuries to their top playmakers, or at least their best options for keeping the other team honest; but at no time did Minnesota’s D really shut down anything other than their ability to constantly run a very successful blitz on 3rd and long that our autistic O coordinator refused to compensate for. Both teams are better than they appeared today, but it is a LONG way from saying one team dominated the other, on either side of the ball.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 22, 2009 1:32 AM CST reply actions  

Not agreeing or disagreeing

The Gophers defense has been an easy target at times this year because people don’t watch the games. They have really been pretty good. Looking at just total yards doesn’t tell the story since they also have to be on the field for many more possessions due to the ineptitude of the offense.

The fact that you concede Minnesota’s D constantly had success on 3rd and long because Iowa couldn’t figure out the blitz (which was shocking to me) tells me that they were MORE successful than you are giving them credit for. If the Gophers were forcing 3rd and long, it means they were doing something right on 1st and 2nd down as well.

I don’t think Buck was trying to compare the defenses to each other as much as he is comparing each defense in relation to the offense it was facing. The Iowa defense did shut us out, but that is more because of offensive failure than an inability to produce against the defense. It certainly wasn’t an overwhelming argument to say that Minnesota defense > Iowa defense, but rather this game would have been won by merely an average offensive team for the Gophers.

by rencito on Nov 22, 2009 2:58 AM CST up reply actions  

I think you misunderstood it...

A “Moral Victory” would have been excellent execution and discipline against a better team despite a loss. The horrible offensive execution against a beatable opponent is by no means a moral victory, but rather an underachievement.

Buck Bravo

by Buck Bravo on Nov 22, 2009 9:11 AM CST up reply actions  

Have you lost your goddamn mind, son?

Because, after reading that Minnesota had the more dominant defense in a game where Iowa pitched a shutout and stopped Minnesota on a handful of fourth-and-shorts and that your backup quarterback can’t read a playbook but your receivers should be running the “wildcat,” despite the fact that you can’t even run a quarterback draw properly, I’m pretty sure you’re wearing a tinfoil hat.

Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.

by Patrick Vint on Nov 23, 2009 11:39 AM CST reply actions  

wow

you guys stopped our vaunted offense, /claps excitedly

"they're calling insane hogs???"

by CrowTrobot on Nov 23, 2009 12:10 PM CST up reply actions  

well, you were able to score more points AT Ohio State, I think their defense is pretty good,
and Iowa had only ONE 3rd down converted the entire game. Just my humble opinion it was really impressive.

"they're calling insane hogs???"

by CrowTrobot on Nov 23, 2009 3:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Not as impressive as a shutout.

Sorry, but that’s the ultimate fact.

Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.

by Patrick Vint on Nov 24, 2009 12:05 PM CST up reply actions  

We

could of had easy field goals if all we were worried about was avoiding a shut out

"they're calling insane hogs???"

by CrowTrobot on Nov 24, 2009 7:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Again, for all of you Iowa fans

The comment was not supposed to indicate that the Gopher defense was better than the Iowa defense. The comparison was that what the Gopher D did to the Iowa offense was more impressive than what the Iowa D did against the Gopher offense.

Trying to illustrate how craptastic the gopher offense is/was. Your offense with the backup QB and 4th string RB is better than ours by a pretty large margin. Add that to the fact that it was a home game for you…you end up with the comment about the better Gopher performance.

I know that relative comparisons are difficult for some people to process…but come on. You can’t be that stupid? I mean, doesn’t everyone have to pass standard reading comprehension tests?

by TheEvilProfessor on Nov 23, 2009 4:41 PM CST reply actions  

Um...

“Minnesota’s defense was the most dominant on the field…”

“Minnesota had the better players, especially on defense.”

“Minnesota had better players and should have won the game.”

What part of that isn’t saying that he thinks, against the weight of all evidence, that Minnesota’s defense is better than Iowa’s? Or was it opposite day in Minnesota when this was written?

Before you respond, let me remind you: Brian Cook called me smug, which makes me the Obama of smugness. I'm basically Smugbama.

by Patrick Vint on Nov 24, 2009 12:04 PM CST up reply actions  

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