TDG Preseason Predictions Revisited

by Buck Bravo on Nov 27, 2009 1:46 PM CST in Gopher Football

On September 5th The Daily Gopher team published our predictions for the 2009 football season. You can review the story at this link. For this post, I'll review what our preseason expectations were and how we've fared. First, let's review a chart of our predictions compared to actual results. Predictions that would have resulted in a winning bet as either a win/loss prediction or a pick versus the Vegas betting spread are highlighted in green:

Tdgpredictions2009_medium

While the manner in which the 2009 squad ended up at a 6-6 record was disheartening for many fans, all three of us at The Daily Gopher had expectations within one game of the actual final record, and JG was on the money when he predicted a 6-6 record:

2009recordpredictions_medium

As for whether we called the wins and losses correctly for individual games, we all had winning records but GopherNation was an incredible 11-1:

2009winlosspredictions_medium

Versus the official Las Vegas point spread, I ended up having a 7-4 record. There was no official line versus South Dakota State, but had there been I probably would have been 7-5 since I expected Minnesota to win that game by a landslide.

The 6-6 regular season record is disappointing due to the way in which the team, especially the offense, fell apart as the season progressed. Hindsight is always 20/20, but I'm not ashamed to boast that the TDG team had good foresight for the 2009 season back in September.

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Preseason predictions

You guys did come close. I felt the gophers could have easily been 2-10 based on the strong schedule this year. How did they manage(I know we had Decker) to beat Michigan State, Purdue, and Northwestern and AIr Force? Remember the fumble return getting the win against AF? Remember the errant pass by the rookie basketball playing QB in the Syracuse game to seal a close game for the Gophers. I’d say we escaped with wins in at least 4 games (Syracuse, Air Force, Michigan State, SD State).
Give Brewster credit for adding in Air Force, and California this year, and USC next year. It does elevate the expectations of the players and the program and increase exposure vs the old Toledo, Miami Ohio, Louisiana Lafayette, and Bowling Green matchups. We risked loss in those games too, and sometimes did lose to MIAC teams. He is a good recruiter for the program. He has to prove next year if he can be a good head coach.

by bobbyspringfield on Nov 28, 2009 10:04 AM CST reply actions