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2017 Big Ten Tournament Bracket and Predictive Tool

How will the Gophers do? You decide.

NCAA Basketball: Big Ten Conference Tournament-Michigan State vs Purdue Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Tomorrow the 2017 Big Ten Men’s Basketball Tournament begins. The Gophers earned themselves the coveted double-bye and they don’t begin playing until Friday. But below is your Big Ten Tourney bracket, tipoff times, TV and that is followed by the Four Factors Tool to help you predict who you think may win the conference’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.

The Bracket

Four Factors Tool


Defining the Metrics

Effective FG Percentage (eFG%)

Calculated like regular FG% (FGM / FGA) but this one gives 50% more credit for made three-pointers.

eFG% = (.5 x 3FGM + FGM) / FGA

Turnover Percentage (TO%)

Measures the number of turnovers per possession. So what % of your possessions do you turn the ball over.

TO% = TO / Possessions

Offensive Rebounding Percentage (OR%)

What percentage of your own missed shots do you get the offensive rebound.

OR% = OR / (OR + DRopp)

Defensively I take the OR% and subtract that from 1. So rather than showing your opponent's OR%, I prefer to show what percent of defensive rebounds do you secure.

Free Throw Rate (FTR)

A team’s ability to get to the free throw line. Least important of the four-factors but it is still important.

FTRate = FTA / FGA